World War Three could be just 30 SECONDS away as Turkey shoots down Russian fighter jet
Turkey apparently shot down a Russian bomber which they say was in their air space this morning. Here's why that could have huge consequences. We could be 30 seconds from the brink of World War Three as international tensions over powder keg Syria threaten to ignite.
Turkey admitted to having shot down a Russian fighter jet this morning, claiming it had entered its airspace.
Russia deny the jet ever left Syrian airspace.
Follow our live blog on the Russia-Turkey conflict for all the latest updates
But Turkey claim their fighters transmitted ten warnings in the space of five minutes, instructing the bomber to clear out of their territory.
Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond has described the incident as "potentially serious" - but has it got the potential to boil over into a wider conflict?
Syrian airspace is complicatedAnd as the airspace over Syria becomes increasingly congested, military commanders fear a clash of warplanes, helicopters, drones, missiles and artillery is increasingly likely – and could have global ramifications.
One military expert warned: “Rationalising such a complex airspace is not possible – like getting your mind round a Rubik’s Cube that moves around at Mach 1.5, then adding a dozen more.
Turkey admitted to having shot down a Russian fighter jet this morning, claiming it had entered its airspace.
Russia deny the jet ever left Syrian airspace.
Follow our live blog on the Russia-Turkey conflict for all the latest updates
But Turkey claim their fighters transmitted ten warnings in the space of five minutes, instructing the bomber to clear out of their territory.
Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond has described the incident as "potentially serious" - but has it got the potential to boil over into a wider conflict?
Syrian airspace is complicatedAnd as the airspace over Syria becomes increasingly congested, military commanders fear a clash of warplanes, helicopters, drones, missiles and artillery is increasingly likely – and could have global ramifications.
One military expert warned: “Rationalising such a complex airspace is not possible – like getting your mind round a Rubik’s Cube that moves around at Mach 1.5, then adding a dozen more.
“Given the amount of military traffic in the air there is a real worry a plane will be shot down in a catastrophic misunderstanding of intent. It means we could be seconds from a sudden escalation taking us to the very brink of war.”
Some US planes over Syria have had to abandon targets and even bank sharply to avoid Russian jets.
Have your say in our comments section below
Some US planes over Syria have had to abandon targets and even bank sharply to avoid Russian jets.
Have your say in our comments section below
With the Chinese aircraft carrier Lianoning stationed off the coast of Syria, positioned to allow J-15 warplanes to carry out airstrikes, the fear of split-second mistakes has spiralled even further.
Andrew Foxall, Russia expert at the Henry Jackson Society think tank, said an error could lead to a “diplomatic incident of catastrophic proportions”.
Andrew Foxall, Russia expert at the Henry Jackson Society think tank, said an error could lead to a “diplomatic incident of catastrophic proportions”.
But the wider nightmare is that the proxy war being fought by a global anti-IS coalition against Putin ’s Assad-supporting troops will spiral to the brink of all-out conflict.
Dr Foxall said: “Russia has a very different objective to the Nato coalition and the western drive for liberal democracy and regime change in Syria.
Dr Foxall said: “Russia has a very different objective to the Nato coalition and the western drive for liberal democracy and regime change in Syria.
"The Kremlin’s primary interest is maintaining a pro-Russian regime in Syria.”
The intervention of China has further complicated matters, with fears it could use airstrikes on IS as a cover to launch attacks on Syrian rebels.
There are also concerns that Russia is seeking to expand its influence elsewhere in the region, particularly among the Iraqi and Iranian Shia Muslims, hated by Sunni extremists like ISIS.
Iraq is likely to follow Syria’s lead in asking Russia to launch airstrikes against IS, a result of months of covert plotting by Putin’s spies.
The intervention of China has further complicated matters, with fears it could use airstrikes on IS as a cover to launch attacks on Syrian rebels.
There are also concerns that Russia is seeking to expand its influence elsewhere in the region, particularly among the Iraqi and Iranian Shia Muslims, hated by Sunni extremists like ISIS.
Iraq is likely to follow Syria’s lead in asking Russia to launch airstrikes against IS, a result of months of covert plotting by Putin’s spies.
With Iran already allowing Russia to fly through its airspace, two powerful rival alliances have emerged in the Middle East, recalling the build up to the First World War .
Dr Foxall said: “I don’t know of any recent conflict comparable in terms of the number of competing national interests.”
Dr Foxall said: “I don’t know of any recent conflict comparable in terms of the number of competing national interests.”
The tensions escalated amid reports that ISIS warlord Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi had been smuggled away in an “unknown condition” after his convoy was bombed by Iraqi air forces.
Putin hit out at the West “who say they are fighting terrorism but do not demonstrate results”.
But former Nato Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer told Channel 4 news: “I think Putin will eventually fall on his own sword.
"He will be the anti-Christ for every Sunni in the Middle East .”
Putin hit out at the West “who say they are fighting terrorism but do not demonstrate results”.
But former Nato Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer told Channel 4 news: “I think Putin will eventually fall on his own sword.
"He will be the anti-Christ for every Sunni in the Middle East .”
Turkey - and the UK - are members of NatoAs tensions escalate on Syria's western border, the incident between Russian and Turkish aircraft has raised the temperature.
Turkey has reacted with alarm as Russian aircraft have begun making probes into its airspace.
Nato warned Russia it will defend members and allies if pushed.
Turkey has reacted with alarm as Russian aircraft have begun making probes into its airspace.
Nato warned Russia it will defend members and allies if pushed.
And Britain is sending 100 troops to Poland, Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia to guard against further aggression by Russia following its intervention in Ukraine and a steady increase in the number of Russian incursions into British skies.
Former MI6 chief Sir John Sawers has warned Russia and the West will clash if Putin does not cooperate with the US-led coalition.
http://www.mirror.co.uk
http://www.mirror.co.uk
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